BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arizona St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 81 Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength = 127.68
Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (2-7) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-9)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2023 Home W 118.24 24 21 1B 23 ( 6- 5) Southern Utah -9.44 12.44
2 09/09/2023 Home L 126.54 15 27 1A 36 ( 10- 4) Oklahoma St -1.14 -10.86
3 09/16/2023 Home L 100.02 0 29 1A 69 ( 9- 4) Fresno St -27.66 -1.34
4 09/23/2023 Home L * 132.11 28 42 1A 19 ( 8- 5) Southern Cal 4.42 -18.42
5 09/30/2023 Away L * 137.27 21 24 1A 45 ( 6- 7) California 9.59 -12.59
6 10/07/2023 Home L * 129.28 24 27 1A 57 ( 4- 8) Colorado 1.60 -4.60
7 10/21/2023 Away L * 149.75 7 15 1A 10 ( 14- 0) Washington 22.07 -30.07
8 10/28/2023 Home W * 149.64 38 27 1A 35 ( 5- 7) Washington St 21.95 -10.95
9 11/04/2023 Away L * 94.06 3 55 1A 24 ( 8- 5) Utah -33.62 -18.38
10 11/11/2023 Away W * 155.27 17 7 1A 27 ( 8- 5) UCLA 27.58 -17.58
11 11/18/2023 Home L * 126.94 13 49 1A 1 ( 12- 2) Oregon -0.74 * -35.26
12 11/25/2023 Home L * 113.08 23 59 1A 14 ( 10- 3) Arizona -14.60 -21.40
Averages 127.68 17.8 31.8
Best game: 155.27 = 10 point win over UCLA
Worst game: 94.06 = 52 point loss to Utah
Team stdev: 19.17